Posts Tagged ‘Forex’
Having two short weeks on either side of Easter is rarely an ideal time for commenting on what the markets might do over the short term, but as that is the name of the game, let’s go with it.Read More
Survivorship Bias – No One Remembers the Losers
It is easy to be swayed by stories of those who appear to have mastered the art of trading, generating impressive returns and thriving in the face of adversity, when it comes to understanding success in the financial markets.
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Long Weekend Leave Markets Subdued
Last week was a busy week but with the long Easter break the week ended more subdued. An unexpected oil production cut from OPEC+ which spiked oil price. The week ended with Non -Farm Payrolls which came inline so now the market will be looking towards the Fed and if the tightening cycle has come to an end.
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Time for a Bull Run
What’s not to like about a few days off and a possible market rally? After a year filled with depressing news, it’s refreshing to have a bit of relief from the constant negativity. While we should still be…Read More
Are you skilled at trading, or just lucky?
Cognitive biases such as confirmation bias and availability bias can have a significant impact on trading decision-making. These biases can cloud our judgement and distort our perception of reality, causing us to make poor decisions.
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Banking Fears Subside
Last week was quieter than expected. Initial fears of a full-blown banking crisis seemed to subside with Deutsche bank and US regional bank contagion fears all but gone for now. The US Dollar had a relatively quiet week with month / quarter end flows dominating.
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bMAMS: Mimicking Nature – The Evolutionary Leap in Algorithmic Trading
When we think of the African jungle, we imagine a lush and diverse ecosystem, where species thrive through the natural selection process. Surprisingly, the same principle applies to evolutionary machine learning in trading
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This week, instead of preaching, I am asking for your opinion
Few have been as concerned about the economic outlook for as long as I have. And too many of the problems we have discussed over the past year are now, sadly, starting to take hold.Read More
Fed raises rates, but no longer higher, for longer
Last week the Fed was faced with the decision of what to do with rates. Containing pressure on US banks was being offset by inflationary pressures. On the day the Fed raised rates by 25bps giving a soft dovish message alongside it.
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Profitable pessimism or worthless optimism?
In a recent discussion with a reader of my reports, he pointed out that although generally accurate, the pessimism was slightly(?) off-putting.
That was an entirely fair comment, and I took it on board and will address it in future reports.
bMAMS: Managed Account Service: Mastering the Art of Risk Management in Today’s Risky Markets
Risk management is one of the most critical elements of successful trading system development, yet it is often overlooked or misunderstood. At its core, risk management is the art of balancing risk and reward, protecting funds from market volatility while maximizing profits.
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Banking Crisis on The Horizon?
Last week we saw elevated levels of volatility and uncertainty. The week before SVB was failing in the midst of a regional banking crisis. Last week we saw the SNB step into backstop Credit Suisse as the troubled lender grappled with a falling share price and a lack of confidence.
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It’s for times like these that Bitcoin was created!
Although BTC lost its way occasionally, it exists to protect our wealth from bad economic times and to protect us from governments with bad economic policies. I have spent the last 18 months discussing the need to create a diversified portfolio encompassing financial instruments and secure investments outside of capital markets.Read More
SVB Outshines Payrolls
Last week we expected the markets to be all about the data. We had the Fed speaking early in the week which continued the higher for longer theme and the hotly anticipated monthly payrolls were due Friday.
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SVB Collapse Sparks Investor Anxiety: Protect Your Investments with bMAMS
WARNING: The recent demise of Silicon Valley Bank, a dominant force in the technology financing sphere, has sent shockwaves throughout the investment community, triggering a sense of apprehension regarding the potential for market instability and losses. The bank’s abrupt downfall has laid bare the vulnerability of the banking sector.
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So much going on, yet so much unknown
Whilst the bond market continues to price in further economic weakness, the equity players are promoting the importance of holding value stocks. Crypto Banks are in trouble, and BTC is again coming under pressure.Read More
bMAMS: How Data and Math Make Investing Safer and More Successful
Unleashing the Power of Algorithmic Trading: How Data and Math Make Investing Safer and More Successful. In recent years, algorithmic trading has emerged as a dominant force in financial markets, attracting interest from investors and traders alike. One of the key reasons for its popularity is the safety and reduced risk it offers compared to manual human trading.
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Cromwell FX Market View Fed Higher for Longer Still in Focus
Last week quieter than expected as February came to an end. The main focus that has emerged has been the Higher for Longer as the markets look to reprice rate expectations and inflation remains stubbornly high. The DXY lost 0.7% as rate expectations for the Fed increased. Any higher for longer will have a drag on the US economy.
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The Old Man’s Views
I’ve just spent a week on my back…
I’ve just spent a week on my back in traction and yet I haven’t grown an inch! Getting old is no fun, but keeping up with the latest market developments sure keeps you busy.
In the past 18 months, the crypto and hi-tech community has moved their focus from NFTs, to the Metaverse, and now into AI.
bMAMS: Advantages of letting machines do the work
In the realm of financial markets, an undeniable trend has emerged – an inexorable shift towards the use of data mining for trading strategies. This is no mere fad, but a bona fide revolution in the way trading is done.
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