Data Mining Shapes the New Age of Trading

Data mining, a process that uncovers meaningful patterns and correlations within large databases, has become an indispensable tool in the trading arena. It holds numerous advantages over traditional manual trading, revolutionizing the way traders operate.
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USD Strong All Week & Debt Ceiling Worries Creep In

Last week we had BoE interest rate decision which unsurprisingly moved 25bps higher and continued to deliver a mildly hawkish tone. The main theme was the strong dollar which gained against all major currencies.
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Fed to end cycle

Last week we had key interest rate announcements from both the Fed and ECB. Whilst we saw both raise rates by 25bps it would seem the ECB are looking to continue to raise while the Fed may have reached the end of its cycle.
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Stagflation?

Last week the markets began looking at the real possibility of Stagflation. US GDP disappointed and with key central banks announcements upcoming the DXY index was a little lower at 101.6.
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Cromwell FX – April 2023

The latest performance updates for Cromwell FX – a systematic foreign exchange trading program, based on 22 currency pairs, traded on a 24-hour basis.
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Balanced Multi Asset Mathematical Strategy – April 2023

The latest performance updates for Balanced Multi Asset Mathematical Strategy (BMAMS), that uses cold hard mathematics to view the market in an alternative light. Opinion is replaced by statistics. Trading is conducted in clearly defined conditions under strict parameters. Numbers have no emotions.
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Markets Struggle for Direction

Last week the markets struggled to make any directional moves. Compared to the rest of 2023 so far this was a quiet week. With further weakening in global economic data this could well point towards…
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Beyond Guesswork – Examining the Impact of Inductive Reasoning

Traders and investors often rely on historical patterns and trends to guide their decision-making process in their pursuit of financial success. They hope to predict future market outcomes and capitalise on opportunities by analysing past market behaviour.
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Are We Reaching Pivot?

Last week had the US CPI and PPI releases which would give guidance to how the Fed may react in the coming weeks. The CPI showed further inflation slowdown and the PPI also surprised on the lower side.
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Survivorship Bias – No One Remembers the Losers

It is easy to be swayed by stories of those who appear to have mastered the art of trading, generating impressive returns and thriving in the face of adversity, when it comes to understanding success in the financial markets.
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Long Weekend Leave Markets Subdued

Last week was a busy week but with the long Easter break the week ended more subdued. An unexpected oil production cut from OPEC+ which spiked oil price. The week ended with Non -Farm Payrolls which came inline so now the market will be looking towards the Fed and if the tightening cycle has come to an end.
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Are you skilled at trading, or just lucky?

Cognitive biases such as confirmation bias and availability bias can have a significant impact on trading decision-making. These biases can cloud our judgement and distort our perception of reality, causing us to make poor decisions.
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Banking Fears Subside

Last week was quieter than expected. Initial fears of a full-blown banking crisis seemed to subside with Deutsche bank and US regional bank contagion fears all but gone for now. The US Dollar had a relatively quiet week with month / quarter end flows dominating.
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Fed raises rates, but no longer higher, for longer

Last week the Fed was faced with the decision of what to do with rates. Containing pressure on US banks was being offset by inflationary pressures. On the day the Fed raised rates by 25bps giving a soft dovish message alongside it.
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