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Cromwell FX Market View

Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate

The ongoing military build-up in eastern Europe continued to dominate the market headlines. In the early stages of the week there was general optimism about the situation, with risk rallying...
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Cromwell FX Market View Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate

The ongoing military build-up in eastern Europe continued to dominate the market headlines. In the early stages of the week there was general optimism about the situation, with risk rallying...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate

FX Market View #39

Inflation and Potential of War Driving Markets

The currency markets have been simultaneously driven by two themes as of recent, however independently the duration of these market motives vary significantly. Firstly, there are the concerns of inflation...
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The Old Man’s Views

The Story of Fernando, The Romantic Bull.

The week of Valentine's Day is always a good time to tell the story of Fernando the Bull. I've read lots of reports and recommendations, many of which involve various...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Ukraine in Focus

It seems not a week goes by without some level of event driven volatility. Late in the week rumours of Russia /  Ukraine escalation saw Euro move lower. Oil surged...
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FX Market View #38

Markets dominated by Political tensions in Europe

Geo-political tensions drove the markets this past week with the US sending bold statements of a pending war in Europe. Whether or not the likelihood of an all-out invasion of...
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Macro Research

Is The Yield Curve About to Invert?

Since Q4 of 2021 to today we have had wild swings within fixed income markets. As G10 central banks have taken notice of rising inflation and bit by bit have...
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Digital Asset Insights #54

Bitcoin’s Parabolic Movement, Now What? 

This week's digital asset newsletter illuminates the vigorous performances shown recently by the established Cryptos. BITCOIN (BTC) At the opening of the week, Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency surged above $41,000....
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The Old Man’s Views

The Winter Games and Games People Play

China has done exceptionally well hosting the Winter Olympics after Covid.    Considering China's record of human rights abuse, the communists must be extremely happy that so many countries showed...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Surprise Hawkish ECB

Another volatile week as Central Bank hawkishness came to the fore. Traders had seen the Fed being Hawkish for sometime but last week was the turn of the BoE and...
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Cromwell FX Market View Surprise Hawkish ECB

Another volatile week as Central Bank hawkishness came to the fore. Traders had seen the Fed being Hawkish for sometime but last week was the turn of the BoE and...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Surprise Hawkish ECB

FX Market View #37

Markets breakouts have subsided but inflation remains

During the first month of the year, the currency markets fed on optimism from lower global unemployment data that support a consensus for economic growth. This positive sentiment encouraged a...
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Digital Asset Insights #53

Bitcoin looks up and Ethereum surges 

This week's digital asset newsletter sheds light on strong performances by the established players and some surprising developments for alt coins. Bitcoin On January 30, Bitcoin struggled to clear the...
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The Old Man’s Views

Reasons to be Cheerful

There are lots of reasons to be cheerful: cheaper currencies, low interest rates, … AND you are not a central banker!   Firstly, as you are not running a Central...
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Monthly Newsletter

The Digital Asset Landscape January 2022

January 2022 in Review January continued the serendipitous slide of crypto, for the most part. It could be that all crypto will return to zero worth, or it could be...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Hawkish Fed Turbocharges USD

The greenback continued its rise against all other majors after the Fed left the markets in no doubt that it was going ahead with its tightening plans. Asset purchases will...
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Cromwell FX Market View Hawkish Fed Turbocharges USD

The greenback continued its rise against all other majors after the Fed left the markets in no doubt that it was going ahead with its tightening plans. Asset purchases will...
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Digital Asset Insights #52

Volatility Makes the World Go Around

Bitcoin Bitcoin dips to the lowest level in five months below $39k on January 21, 2022. This is the second time this year that the world's largest digital currency by...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Dollar Comes Back Strong

All major currencies lost vs the greenback as risk off continued to dominate the week. Tech stocks that started reporting moved the Nasdaq sharply lower with Netflix reporting disappointing numbers....
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Cromwell FX Market View Dollar Comes Back Strong

All major currencies lost vs the greenback as risk off continued to dominate the week. Tech stocks that started reporting moved the Nasdaq sharply lower with Netflix reporting disappointing numbers....
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The Old Man’s Views

Both Education and Government Policy Always Comes with A Cost

It's been a terrible past few weeks - new investors who came to the markets expecting to see instant gains have been disappointed, but hopefully, this experience will make them...
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The Old Man’s Views

Trading in Progress: Please Leave Your Emotions at the Door

When I was a young boy, I quickly learned that grabbing hold of the end of hot poker was not advisable.  Welcome to the world of blind speculation.   When...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Dollar Loses Ground Despite Inflationary Pressures

Strong US inflation and continued hawkish comments from the Fed failed to give any support to the USD as it sold off against all it's major counterparts. US consumer inflation...
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Cromwell FX Market View Dollar Loses Ground Despite Inflationary Pressures

Strong US inflation and continued hawkish comments from the Fed failed to give any support to the USD as it sold off against all it’s major counterparts. US consumer inflation...
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Digital Asset Insights #50

Hong Kong To Set a Plan for Cryptocurrency Regulations by July 2022

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority, which is the central banking institution of the city-state, intends to establish a new regulatory regime for digital assets by this coming July. The special...
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FX Market View #36

Shifting market sentiment weighs down the US Dollar

The market optimism that was prevalent during the first of the year faded during the subsequent daily trading sessions. Sentiment appears to sit on both sides of the fence with...
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The Old Man’s Views

Fruit machines ain’t finance

I came into the cryptocurrencies looking for additional products to hedge against inflation and economic decline.   What I found ...was a minefield.   I appreciated the ideology behind Bitcoin,...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Dollar Stalls Despite Fed

With a slightly shortened week the markets started the year risk on as Omicron fears faded however with the Fed giving a more hawkish outlook stock indices suffered a deep...
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Cromwell FX Market View Dollar Stalls Despite Fed

With a slightly shortened week the markets started the year risk on as Omicron fears faded however with the Fed giving a more hawkish outlook stock indices suffered a deep...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Dollar Stalls Despite Fed

FX Market View #35

Markets poised for gains this week following initial selloff

The New Year started with Dollar gains as market optimism pushed the greenback higher against the most global currencies. Equity markets rallied as investors looked to build upon their long...
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Digital Asset Insights #49

Do You Believe Bitcoin Will Hit $100,000 In 2022? We Asked the Experts

The Federal Reserve took the steam out of cryptocurrencies at the end of the year when it made a hawkish turn which largely spared other risk assets. Looking forward into...
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The Old Man’s Views

Happy New Year!

At the end of the year, we had a few people disappointed because that much forecasted 100,000 on Bitcoin starting to look little more than a dream. But hey-ho, Rome...
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Monthly Newsletter

The Digital Asset Landscape December 2021

December 2021 in Review More price declines and conflicting messages hit the crypto market all through December, although there was an ever-so-slight Christmas rally which lasted for about three days....
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The Old Man’s Views

The Old Man Looks Back on 2021

Firstly, I hope you all had a wonderful Christmas. Omicron upturned my Christmas plans, but we all got through it safely.   We are about to enter another year of...
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Digital Asset Insights #47

718.3 Million XRP Shuffled By Ripple Labs And Its Major ODL Platforms

Whale Alert reported in the beginning of last week, that a staggering 718.3 million XRP had been kicked over by several crypto asset companies - Ripple, Binance and two more digital exchanges. Over...
Read the full article about Digital Asset Insights #47 718.3 Million XRP Shuffled By Ripple Labs And Its Major ODL Platforms

Cromwell FX Market View

Dollar Shines… Eventually

The week saw a slew of central banks reporting surprises. The Fed indicated that next year there will be up to 3 interest rate rises, followed by the Bank of...
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Cromwell FX Market View Dollar Shines… Eventually

The week saw a slew of central banks reporting surprises. The Fed indicated that next year there will be up to 3 interest rate rises, followed by the Bank of...
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Digital Asset Insights #46

BBVA Switzerland becomes the first traditional bank in Europe to add Ethereum to its crypto offering

The Swiss division of the Spanish banking giant, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA), became the first traditional bank in Europe to include Ethereum into its service when it recently expanded...
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The Old Man’s Views

Satoshi Lives!

I am rushing to get ready for a flight to the UK. Hopefully, it will take off before Boris bans all incoming flights.   As most of you are preparing...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Markets Put Omicron Behind Them. Temporarily?

FX markets were mixed but the general theme of risk on returned as investors temporarily put Omicron fears behind them. Commodity currencies were strongest but moves seemed more corrective. the...
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Cromwell FX Market View Markets Put Omicron Behind Them. Temporarily?

FX markets were mixed but the general theme of risk on returned as investors temporarily put Omicron fears behind them. Commodity currencies were strongest but moves seemed more corrective. the...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Markets Put Omicron Behind Them. Temporarily?

Digital Asset Insights #45

Ethereum’s Market Cap Is Now Beyond That of The Biggest Banks in The World

The crypto industry has had one of its best years as it began to see widespread adoption from both retail and institutional investors. This has had a positive effect on...
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The Old Man’s Views

Covid, the Metaverse and Biden… What could go wrong?

Last night I had my Covid booster jab and feel like crap today. Therefore, I will mimic what our governments are doing: Follow the science and give out loads of...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Fed Look To Taper And Omicron Nervous Markets

As further news and statistics on the newly discovered Omicron variant were being digested by traders Fed Chair Powell stirred up the markets further, by talking up faster tapering. Although...
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Digital Asset Insights #44

Here’s What’s Next for Cardano, Shiba Inu, Terra and Two More Altcoins, According to Crypto Analyst

In the middle of last week, before the bloodbath continued in crypto, pseudonymous crypto analyst Altcoin Sherpa, who is a popular crypto strategist and trader with 154,100 Twitter followers, strategized...
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The Old Man’s Views

The People Vs The Powers?

Omicron: Yet, another variant of the China virus that our governments enjoy using to impose their authority? If you can't beat them, we should join them.   I was thinking...
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Monthly Newsletter

The Digital Asset Landscape November 2021

November 2021 in Review Going against most of the guidance and predictive models being bantered about throughout October, the month of November saw red in the crypto world, for the...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Omicron Dominates Headlines

Investor confidence collapsed as the news of the newly named Omicron Variant. World Heath Organisation warned that the variant has a large number of variants some of which have vaccination...
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Cromwell FX Market View Omicron Dominates Headlines

Investor confidence collapsed as the news of the newly named Omicron Variant. World Heath Organisation warned that the variant has a large number of variants some of which have vaccination...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Omicron Dominates Headlines

FX Market View #34

Markets see reprieve since last week’s COVID sell-off

The financial markets slid lower last week as the Dollar picked up the slack and pushed higher. As per normal, the greenback is the 'go-to' currency when markets absorb bad...
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Digital Asset Insights #43

Crackdown in India Continues with Crypto Ban Planned for the Winter. What’s Wrong with This Picture?

India is looking to ban most crypto assets by introducing a new bill to regulate the industry this coming winter. The agenda for the upcoming winter session lists: "The Cryptocurrency...
Read the full article about Digital Asset Insights #43 Crackdown in India Continues with Crypto Ban Planned for the Winter. What’s Wrong with This Picture?

The Old Man’s Views

Thanksgiving Thoughts from the Old Man

Unusually for me, I am a bit short of inspiration this week.   I think it might be because of the launch of CNN Portugal last night. That happened exactly...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Lockdown Fears Resurface

The Euro fell last week, firstly weighed by ECB comments who  continued to push back the need for policy action but more importantly lockdowns across the eurozone began to become...
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Cromwell FX Market View Lockdown Fears Resurface

The Euro fell last week, firstly weighed by ECB comments who  continued to push back the need for policy action but more importantly lockdowns across the eurozone began to become...
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FX Market View #33

Euro slides as European Nations battle a COVID surge

The momentum behind the Euro rally last week ran out of steam, as COVID infection numbers surge on the continent. Europe's central and eastern currencies were also weighed down with...
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Digital Asset Insights #42

How And Why to Make Profits Off the Downside

Just about the entire cryptocurrency market experienced a free fall last Monday and Tuesday, with Bitcoin falling more than 10% to $58,500 and ETH to $4,100. Sometimes you have to ask yourself,...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Interest Rate Repricing

The week after the main Central Banks announced their interest rates a repricing of expectations took hold. The USD was once again the main winner as markets began pricing in...
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Cromwell FX Market View Interest Rate Repricing

The week after the main Central Banks announced their interest rates a repricing of expectations took hold. The USD was once again the main winner as markets began pricing in...
Read the full article about Cromwell FX Market View Interest Rate Repricing
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