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The Old Man’s Views

Politics and the Markets Are (Almost) Always Uneasy Bedfellows

This week we have seen more signs of the impending economic collapse. Indeed, the only thing that's been good news is Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter....
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Cromwell FX Market View Big Gains for the US Dollar

The US Dollar was the overall winner last week making impressive gains across the board. A further firming of yields and speculation of further Fed tightening...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Big Gains for the US Dollar

The US Dollar was the overall winner last week making impressive gains across the board. A further firming of yields and speculation of further Fed tightening...
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Digital Asset Insights

Digital Asset Insights #63

With digital currencies, you either gain or lose. However, with the right information, analyses, and expert predictions, you can maximize the trading sessions to your advantage....
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The Old Man’s Views

You know the strange thing about getting older?

Although you find it difficult to see things close up, your vision of things further away seems to improve significantly. Last week, I went to Lisbon...
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Cromwell FX Market View US Dollar Grinds Higher

Last weeks rising yields continued. This led to a week of further downward pressure in bonds and interest rate rises. The Box and RBNZ both moved...
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Cromwell FX Market View

US Dollar Grinds Higher

Last weeks rising yields continued. This led to a week of further downward pressure in bonds and interest rate rises. The Box and RBNZ both moved...
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Digital Asset Insights #62

Are the Major Digital Coins Prepping for a New Bull Run?

The crypto market was busy last week with so many surprises. Stay informed with the latest predictions through this newsletter to make the most of the...
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The Old Man’s Views

We know more regulation is coming, so you had better get used to it

This week, I have been in Lisbon, catching up with a few people and chewing the fat with some of my old mates. Peter Kristensen of...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Sleepy Start, Explosive End

The week started as the following had ended. Markets were relatively quiet. The war in Ukraine had continued to ebb away from headlines and the markets...
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Digital Asset Insights #61

Digital Assets Volatility Hits New Highs

There have been some swings in the crypto market in the past seven days you should be aware of know as this week's trading session commences....
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Macro Research

After Inversion Comes?

In my first note, I asked the question, will the yield curve invert? With 5s30s and more importantly the 2s10s inverting on 31/03/22, the guessing game...
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The Old Man’s Views

The Western world is committing Economic suicide

Firstly, it kicks Russia out of SWIFT, which means Russia will no longer sell its oil and other commodities in dollars, or perhaps Euros, and will...
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Cromwell FX Market View Quieter Week – But Eye of The Storm?

The week was quieter on many fronts. The continued war in Ukraine has now seems to have completely stalled for the Russians. The announcement of a...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Quieter Week – But Eye of The Storm?

The week was quieter on many fronts. The continued war in Ukraine has now seems to have completely stalled for the Russians. The announcement of a...
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Digital Asset Insights #60

The Best Performing Assets of the Week Will Surprise You!

Here is what to look out for in the Crypto Market as the Trading Session Starts. BITCOIN (BTC) At the opening of the week, Bitcoin started...
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The Old Man’s Views

You Gotta Jiggy with It!

My mate Adam has been telling me that a report is like a penis: If it's too long, it is hard to swallow. As he is...
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Cromwell FX Market View Rising Yields a Cause for Concern

The war in Ukraine seemed to move from the spotlight as any developments continued to stall the main themes for the week was the continuing rising...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Rising Yields a Cause for Concern

The war in Ukraine seemed to move from the spotlight as any developments continued to stall the main themes for the week was the continuing rising...
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Macro Research

The First Warning Signs

The bond market and in particular certain yield curves are starting to flash warning signs: 5s-30s inverted this week for the first time since 2006. This...
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Digital Asset Insights #59

Digital Assets Take Off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple all driven by strong bullish sentiments as the digital asset industry looks set for a bountiful near term. BITCOIN (BTC) The week...
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The Old Man’s Views

I Am Getting the Feeling That Cryptocurrencies are Going to Remain in the Doldrums for Some Time to Come

I am not being negative towards the industry, because there is no chance cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology will not continue to develop, but we may be...
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The Old Man’s Views

Why Are You Reading This?

If you are anything like me, you are reading reports hoping that you will find a snippet of information that might prove profitable today or in...
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Cromwell FX Market View

War Stalls and Fed Hikes

The week saw the current war in Ukraine stall. With this we saw the Euro gain slight momentum   GBP gained as the BoE again raised...
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Cromwell FX Market View War Stalls and Fed Hikes

The week saw the current war in Ukraine stall. With this we saw the Euro gain slight momentum   GBP gained as the BoE again raised...
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Digital Asset Insights #58

Updated: What Your Relationship with Bitcoin Says About You

BITCOIN (BTC) Bitcoins opened the week trading above $37,793 which is a slight climb from where it had been trading in the previous week. The following...
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The Old Man’s Views

Never underestimate the power of small people with a good idea and a few cans of beer!

Usually, when I am about to write, I typically have a list of 3 or 4 topics that I can choose from and decide what to...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Markets Remain Stable Ahead of Fed

The week saw some level of stabilisation after the previous 2 weeks of roller coaster markets. Ukraine continued to dominate the headlines but with no further...
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Cromwell FX Market View Markets Remain Stable Ahead of Fed

The week saw some level of stabilisation after the previous 2 weeks of roller coaster markets. Ukraine continued to dominate the headlines but with no further...
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Macro Research

Don’t Fight the Fed

The phrase "Don't fight the Fed" is normally attributed to the reaction function of central banks once a crisis is underway. What does it mean? Simply...
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Digital Asset Insights #57

Investors predict Fed to hike rates this week. Reactions from Crypto will be expected

BITCOIN (BTC) Bitcoin traded within a volatile consolidation range this week, opening at a weekly low of $37,000, rallying to a high of $45,039, and then...
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The Old Man’s Views

Morals and the Markets

It doesn't matter how much the markets have moved in our favour. There can be no joy when watching what is happening in Ukraine.   I...
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Cromwell FX Market View

War Continues to Take Its Toll

The week was once again dominated by the continued invasion in Ukraine. Euro was the worse performer of the week as the attack on the Zaporizhzhia...
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Cromwell FX Market View War Continues to Take Its Toll

The week was once again dominated by the continued invasion in Ukraine. Euro was the worse performer of the week as the attack on the Zaporizhzhia...
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Digital Asset Insights #56

First Mover Americas: Investors Visually perceive Bitcoin as Inflation Hedge

BITCOIN (BTC) BTC/USD opened the month selling at $43,257 on the first of March after soaring above the 9-day MA and 21-day moving averages to cross...
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The Old Man’s Views

A Sad Week

In a week such as this, talking about ways to make money seems a little obscene.   All the people in Ukraine are in my prayers....
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Cromwell FX Market View

Putin’s War Begins

The week was dominated by the build up of forces and eventual invasion of Ukraine. Though not unexpected by the markets the actual event still took...
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Cromwell FX Market View Putin’s War Begins

The week was dominated by the build up of forces and eventual invasion of Ukraine. Though not unexpected by the markets the actual event still took...
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Macro Research

Will The Fed Hike in March?

With the war between Russia and Ukraine dominating headlines inflation numbers not seen since the early 80s and what could be the first Fed rate hike...
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Digital Asset Insights #55

War Puts BTC Price to the Test

Bitcoin (BTC) commences an incipient week in the shadow of an incipient geopolitical conflict - what are the main hurdles that investors face? BITCOIN (BTC) In...
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The Old Man’s Views

Perhaps It’s Time to Delve Deeper into How These Markets Move

The Whales have grown big, because they feast on the tiniest Algae This week, I was going to talk about something else. However, after monitoring a...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate

The ongoing military build-up in eastern Europe continued to dominate the market headlines. In the early stages of the week there was general optimism about the...
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Cromwell FX Market View Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate

The ongoing military build-up in eastern Europe continued to dominate the market headlines. In the early stages of the week there was general optimism about the...
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FX Market View #39

Inflation and Potential of War Driving Markets

The currency markets have been simultaneously driven by two themes as of recent, however independently the duration of these market motives vary significantly. Firstly, there are...
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The Old Man’s Views

The Story of Fernando, The Romantic Bull.

The week of Valentine's Day is always a good time to tell the story of Fernando the Bull. I've read lots of reports and recommendations, many...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Ukraine in Focus

It seems not a week goes by without some level of event driven volatility. Late in the week rumours of Russia /  Ukraine escalation saw Euro...
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FX Market View #38

Markets dominated by Political tensions in Europe

Geo-political tensions drove the markets this past week with the US sending bold statements of a pending war in Europe. Whether or not the likelihood of...
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Macro Research

Is The Yield Curve About to Invert?

Since Q4 of 2021 to today we have had wild swings within fixed income markets. As G10 central banks have taken notice of rising inflation and...
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Digital Asset Insights #54

Bitcoin’s Parabolic Movement, Now What? 

This week's digital asset newsletter illuminates the vigorous performances shown recently by the established Cryptos. BITCOIN (BTC) At the opening of the week, Bitcoin, the largest...
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The Old Man’s Views

The Winter Games and Games People Play

China has done exceptionally well hosting the Winter Olympics after Covid.    Considering China's record of human rights abuse, the communists must be extremely happy that...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Surprise Hawkish ECB

Another volatile week as Central Bank hawkishness came to the fore. Traders had seen the Fed being Hawkish for sometime but last week was the turn...
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Cromwell FX Market View Surprise Hawkish ECB

Another volatile week as Central Bank hawkishness came to the fore. Traders had seen the Fed being Hawkish for sometime but last week was the turn...
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FX Market View #37

Markets breakouts have subsided but inflation remains

During the first month of the year, the currency markets fed on optimism from lower global unemployment data that support a consensus for economic growth. This...
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Digital Asset Insights #53

Bitcoin looks up and Ethereum surges 

This week's digital asset newsletter sheds light on strong performances by the established players and some surprising developments for alt coins. Bitcoin On January 30, Bitcoin...
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The Old Man’s Views

Reasons to be Cheerful

There are lots of reasons to be cheerful: cheaper currencies, low interest rates, … AND you are not a central banker!   Firstly, as you are...
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Monthly Newsletter

The Digital Asset Landscape January 2022

January 2022 in Review January continued the serendipitous slide of crypto, for the most part. It could be that all crypto will return to zero worth,...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Hawkish Fed Turbocharges USD

The greenback continued its rise against all other majors after the Fed left the markets in no doubt that it was going ahead with its tightening...
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Cromwell FX Market View Hawkish Fed Turbocharges USD

The greenback continued its rise against all other majors after the Fed left the markets in no doubt that it was going ahead with its tightening...
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Digital Asset Insights #52

Volatility Makes the World Go Around

Bitcoin Bitcoin dips to the lowest level in five months below $39k on January 21, 2022. This is the second time this year that the world's...
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Cromwell FX Market View

Dollar Comes Back Strong

All major currencies lost vs the greenback as risk off continued to dominate the week. Tech stocks that started reporting moved the Nasdaq sharply lower with...
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