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Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management – No.1 The Collapse of LTCM

I. What was Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM)? Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) was founded in 1994 by John W. Meriwether, the former vice-chairman, and head of bond trading at Salomon Brothers....
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Introducing Europe’s Largest Green Liquid Hydrogen Plant

This week, the MARKET VIEWS video showcases the tech and the investment opportunity driving the production of green hydrogen in the UK. Join Peter Kristensen and Adam Hill (Co-CEOs at...
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A generation of surrender monkeys, making money by helping the government steal it

Being raised by people who lived and fought during WWII, it can be no surprise I look at things differently to younger generations, who don't mind dumping their morality to...
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Digital Asset Insights 18.05.23

We bring you the latest updates and insights on the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies. The past week has been marked by notable price fluctuations, reflecting the inherent volatility of the...
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Data Mining Shapes the New Age of Trading

The Impact of Data Mining in Trading Data mining, a process that uncovers meaningful patterns and correlations within large databases, has become an indispensable tool in the trading arena. It...
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USD Strong All Week & Debt Ceiling Worries Creep In

Last week we had BoE interest rate decision which unsurprisingly moved 25bps higher and continued to deliver a mildly hawkish tone. The main theme was the strong dollar which gained...
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Open Business Council Partners with JPFS

The Open Business Council is launching MARKET VIEWS, a new video-driven series exploring the themes that matter to all of us -  financial wellbeing, how the markets affect us, investment...
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A new monarch, a new era?

The new Monarch, prompted calls to abolish the Monarchy. But haven't we had enough of instability, and pointless sideshows? Not everyone loves the monarchy, but there is something about the...
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The future is here, and it is not pretty

Artificial intelligence is the day's headline news, with people flooding to use ChatGPT and similar programs. Artificial intelligence (AI) is much more than that though - it is not a...
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Invest in Europe’s largest green liquid hydrogen plant

Our first investment opportunity in renewable energy The Whitehill project in Scotland, is a 100% renewable energy project to create green hydrogen for transport from wind and water.   Investing...
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Navigating Market Uncertainties Through Probabilistic Thinking

Recognising Probabilistic Thinking Probabilistic thinking is a critical cognitive tool derived from probability science. It is, at its core, a mental framework that allows us to deal with the inherent...
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Fed to end cycle

Last week we had key interest rate announcements from both the Fed and ECB. Whilst we saw both raise rates by 25bps it would seem the ECB are looking to...
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Digital Asset Insights 09.05.23

Stay up to date with the latest trends in cryptocurrency with our weekly newsletter. We cover the latest price fluctuations, trading volumes, and investor sentiments of leading digital assets and...
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The Minimax Mindset for Conquering a Sophisticated Market

In the highly competitive world of financial markets, traders are continually searching for effective strategies to gain an edge and achieve long-term success. In the highly competitive world of financial...
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More Lines than Hunter Biden’s…

Many of today's charts have more lines than a mirror in Hunter Biden's bedroom.   When I started, we plotted our charts by hand using pencil and paper, updating them...
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Stagflation?

Last week the markets began looking at the real possibility of Stagflation. US GDP disappointed and with key central banks announcements upcoming the DXY index was a little lower at...
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Digital Asset Insights 02.05.23

In this report, we explore the fluctuations in the prices of leading cryptocurrencies over the past week, by analyzing the daily trading ranges, opening and closing prices, and the percentage...
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Cromwell FX – April 2023

Cromwell FX is a systematic foreign exchange trading program, based on 22 currency pairs, traded on a 24-hour basis. Performance Updates Compounded Gross Performance 1.94% in April 2023 Total Compounded...
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Balanced Multi Asset Mathematical Strategy – April 2023

The latest performance updates for Balanced Multi Asset Mathematical Strategy (BMAMS), that uses cold hard mathematics to view the market in an alternative light. Opinion is replaced by statistics. Trading...
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Where is Technology Taking Us?

Apparently, I am not the only old fart who is worried about the direction technology is taking us all!   Technologists should be proud of what they create, but they...
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Markets Struggle for Direction

Last week the markets struggled to make any directional moves. Compared to the rest of 2023 so far this was a quiet week. With further weakening in global economic data...
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Overcoming the Limits of Inductive Reasoning – The acceptance of Antifragility

To reduce the risks associated with inductive reasoning and better navigate the volatile dynamics of financial markets, traders must accept the markets’ inherent uncertainty and use caution when analysing historical...
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Digital Asset Insights 25.04.23

It’s a new week and another opportunity to make informed decision about your digital assets and cryptocurrency investments. This report will keep you updated on the trends and analysis of...
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Beyond Guesswork – Examining the Impact of Inductive Reasoning

Traders and investors often rely on historical patterns and trends to guide their decision-making process in their pursuit of financial success. They hope to predict future market outcomes and capitalise...
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The Times They Are A-Changing

Everything has been relatively stable for the past few weeks, but the time for that to change is not far off. Over the coming weeks, the way the charts are...
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CANNALAND 420 Launch: You Are Invited!

Our friends at CANNALAND are launching the world's first metaverse for cannabis enthusiasts and the canna-curious.   CANNALAND will deliver a robust B2B and B2C Metaverse experience with a unique and integrated...
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Are We Reaching Pivot?

Last week had the US CPI and PPI releases which would give guidance to how the Fed may react in the coming weeks. The CPI showed further inflation slowdown and...
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JPFS Launches New Systematic Managed Futures Strategy on trademakers

JPFS has added Altis Enhanced Macro to its platform to bring a unique investment strategy to a new audience of investors via trademakers, our fractionalised investment platform. Altis Enhanced Macro dynamically allocates both...
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Digital Asset Insights 18.04.23

This summarizes the performance of popular cryptocurrencies, including daily trading volumes, market capitalization, and price fluctuations. With these insights, you can make informed decisions about your investments. Bitcoin (BTC) BTC...
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JPFS Launches New Partnership with GAIA Capital

JPFS has partnered with GAIA Capital to bring it's unique investment strategies to a new audience of investors via trademakers, our fractionalised investment platform. GAIA FX+ is a systematic foreign exchange program focused...
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Sell Rallies

Having two short weeks on either side of Easter is rarely an ideal time for commenting on what the markets might do over the short term, but as that is...
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Survivorship Bias – No One Remembers the Losers

Introduction It is easy to be swayed by stories of those who appear to have mastered the art of trading, generating impressive returns and thriving in the face of adversity,...
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Long Weekend Leave Markets Subdued

Last week was a busy week but with the long Easter break the week ended more subdued. An unexpected oil production cut from OPEC+ which spiked oil price. The week...
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Digital Asset Insights 11.04.23

Here is all you need to know about the leading cryptocurrencies last week. These antecedents give us an informed direction about what the nearest future holds and it would be...
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Time for a Bull Run

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Few have been as concerned about the economic outlook for as long as I have. And too many...
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Are you skilled at trading, or just lucky?

Cognitive Biases and the Illusion of Skill Cognitive biases such as confirmation bias and availability bias can have a significant impact on trading decision-making. These biases can cloud our judgement...
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Banking Fears Subside

Last week was quieter than expected. Initial fears of a full-blown banking crisis seemed to subside with Deutsche bank and US regional bank contagion fears all but gone for now....
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Digital Asset Insights 04.04.23

There is no better way to stay ahead of the cryptocurrency market than to stay informed. If you have some doubts or you are just unsure which digital asset is...
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bMAMS: Mimicking Nature – The Evolutionary Leap in Algorithmic Trading

Introduction When we think of the African jungle, we imagine a lush and diverse ecosystem, where species thrive through the natural selection process. Surprisingly, the same principle applies to evolutionary...
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JPFS Launches New Partnership with ALPHAtrade

JPFS has partnered with ALPHAtrade to bring it's unique investment strategies to a new audience of investors via trademakers, our fractionalised investment platform.   Lecka Quant FX is a quantitative, systematic trading system which...
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This week, instead of preaching, I am asking for your opinion

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Few have been as concerned about the economic outlook for as long as I have. And too many...
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Fed raises rates, but no longer higher, for longer

Last week the Fed was faced with the decision of what to do with rates. Containing pressure on US banks was being offset by inflationary pressures. On the day the...
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Digital Asset Insights 28.03.23

There is no better way to stay ahead of the cryptocurrency market than to stay informed. If you have some doubts or you are just unsure which digital asset is...
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Profitable pessimism or worthless optimism?

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook In a recent discussion with a reader of my reports, he pointed out that although generally accurate, the...
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bMAMS: Managed Account Service: Mastering the Art of Risk Management in Today’s Risky Markets

1. The Importance of Risk Management in Trading Risk management is one of the most critical elements of successful trading system development, yet it is often overlooked or misunderstood. At...
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Banking Crisis on The Horizon?

Last week we saw elevated levels of volatility and uncertainty. The week before SVB was failing in the midst of a regional banking crisis. Last week we saw the SNB...
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Digital Asset Insights 21.03.23

Stay informed on the latest cryptocurrency market updates and fluctuations of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices, as well as government policies and market trends with this go-to newsletter for investors...
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It’s for times like these that Bitcoin was created!

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Although BTC lost its way occasionally, it exists to protect our wealth from bad economic times and to...
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Cannabis deserves the metaverse

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Investment in the metaverse hit $120bn in 2022 and it shows no sign of slowing. Its been described...
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SVB Outshines Payrolls

Last week we expected the markets to be all about the data. We had the Fed speaking early in the week which continued the higher for longer theme and the...
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SVB Collapse Sparks Investor Anxiety: Protect Your Investments with bMAMS

WARNING: The recent demise of Silicon Valley Bank, a dominant force in the technology financing sphere, has sent shockwaves throughout the investment community, triggering a sense of apprehension regarding the...
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Digital Asset Insights 14.03.23

Whether you are a seasoned crypto trader or a novice investor, this newsletter provides valuable insights that can help you make informed decisions about your investment strategy. Find out the...
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So much going on, yet so much unknown

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Whilst the bond market continues to price in further economic weakness, the equity players are promoting the importance...
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bMAMS: How Data and Math Make Investing Safer and More Successful

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Unleashing the Power of Algorithmic Trading: How Data and Math Make Investing Safer and More Successful. In recent...
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Cromwell FX Market View Fed Higher for Longer Still in Focus

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Last week quieter than expected as February came to an end. The main focus that has emerged has...
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Digital Asset Insights Digital Asset Insights #107

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Interested in cryptocurrency, then you should definitely read this. This Newsletter discusses the recent movements in the leading...
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The Old Man’s Views

I’ve just spent a week on my back…

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Getting old is no fun, but keeping up with the latest market developments sure keeps you busy.  ...
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bMAMS: Advantages of letting machines do the work

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook In the realm of financial markets, an undeniable trend has emerged – an inexorable shift towards the use...
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Cromwell FX Market View Fed Moves to Higher and Longer

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook Last week saw another week of strong data from the US.  This led the market to disregard any...
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Digital Asset Insights Digital Asset Insights #106

Share on Linkedin Linkedin Share on Twitter Twitter Share on Facebook Facebook The ongoing bullish trend in major cryptocurrencies presents a timely opportunity to capitalize on. Our weekly reports offer...
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