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The Old Man’s Views
Happy Birthday to Me! …Or Is It?
Today, my oldest contract should have come into play. But the government cheated me by unilaterally changing the terms and conditions. Today, my oldest contract...
Macro Research
Tech Wreck 2.0
It's quite clear certain parts of the market such as crypto, saas and other duration linked assets in Tech has recently had a fall from grace...
Digital Asset Insights
Digital Asset Insights #66
Leading digital currencies are crashing as we predicted but we expect an upswing in price action soon. This report, analysis, and predictions will guide you into...
The Old Man’s Views
Until Recently, My Bear Den Was Almost Empty. Now, It Seems Full of Old Bulls
Sometimes it is challenging to assess how much people need to lose before the penny drops. This time, it has taken months for some, which is...
Cromwell FX Market View
The Fed Continues to Rule
The week that was so anticipated finally arrived. The Fed raised interest rates by 50bps ruling out the possibility of 75bps. However by the end of...
Digital Asset Insights
Digital Asset Insights #65
A tough bearish week has passed and digital currencies are beginning to consolidate their gains and losses, and the current market situation across major cryptos, keeping...
The Old Man’s Views
Is This the Calm Before The Storm?
This week, I am back in the UK to see my old Mum and catch up with family before the tourist season takes off in Portugal....
Macro Research
What To Expect from The Fed This Week?
This Wednesday the Fed will be announcing its next rate hike. Reading over some of the commentary from fed speakers we can see that 50BPS looks...
Cromwell FX Market View
Dollar Continues Its Dominance; Risk Assets Fall
The US Dollar ended the week the strongest, having the best week since 2015 and with Dollar index hitting a two-decade high. The index moved to...
Digital Asset Insights
Digital Asset Insights #64
Good and Bad News for Crypto Traders: time to leverage the bullish trends of your favorite digital assets by staying informed with market behavior and incisive...
The Old Man’s Views
Politics and the Markets Are (Almost) Always Uneasy Bedfellows
This week we have seen more signs of the impending economic collapse. Indeed, the only thing that's been good news is Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter....
Cromwell FX Market View
Big Gains for the US Dollar
The US Dollar was the overall winner last week making impressive gains across the board. A further firming of yields and speculation of further Fed tightening...
Digital Asset Insights
Digital Asset Insights #63
With digital currencies, you either gain or lose. However, with the right information, analyses, and expert predictions, you can maximize the trading sessions to your advantage....
The Old Man’s Views
You know the strange thing about getting older?
Although you find it difficult to see things close up, your vision of things further away seems to improve significantly. Last week, I went to Lisbon...
Cromwell FX Market View
US Dollar Grinds Higher
Last weeks rising yields continued. This led to a week of further downward pressure in bonds and interest rate rises. The Box and RBNZ both moved...
Digital Asset Insights #62
Are the Major Digital Coins Prepping for a New Bull Run?
The crypto market was busy last week with so many surprises. Stay informed with the latest predictions through this newsletter to make the most of the...
The Old Man’s Views
We know more regulation is coming, so you had better get used to it
This week, I have been in Lisbon, catching up with a few people and chewing the fat with some of my old mates. Peter Kristensen of...
Cromwell FX Market View
Sleepy Start, Explosive End
The week started as the following had ended. Markets were relatively quiet. The war in Ukraine had continued to ebb away from headlines and the markets...
Digital Asset Insights #61
Digital Assets Volatility Hits New Highs
There have been some swings in the crypto market in the past seven days you should be aware of know as this week's trading session commences....
Macro Research
After Inversion Comes?
In my first note, I asked the question, will the yield curve invert? With 5s30s and more importantly the 2s10s inverting on 31/03/22, the guessing game...
The Old Man’s Views
The Western world is committing Economic suicide
Firstly, it kicks Russia out of SWIFT, which means Russia will no longer sell its oil and other commodities in dollars, or perhaps Euros, and will...
Cromwell FX Market View
Quieter Week – But Eye of The Storm?
The week was quieter on many fronts. The continued war in Ukraine has now seems to have completely stalled for the Russians. The announcement of a...
Digital Asset Insights #60
The Best Performing Assets of the Week Will Surprise You!
Here is what to look out for in the Crypto Market as the Trading Session Starts. BITCOIN (BTC) At the opening of the week, Bitcoin started...
The Old Man’s Views
You Gotta Jiggy with It!
My mate Adam has been telling me that a report is like a penis: If it's too long, it is hard to swallow. As he is...
Cromwell FX Market View
Rising Yields a Cause for Concern
The war in Ukraine seemed to move from the spotlight as any developments continued to stall the main themes for the week was the continuing rising...
Macro Research
The First Warning Signs
The bond market and in particular certain yield curves are starting to flash warning signs: 5s-30s inverted this week for the first time since 2006. This...
Digital Asset Insights #59
Digital Assets Take Off
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple all driven by strong bullish sentiments as the digital asset industry looks set for a bountiful near term. BITCOIN (BTC) The week...
The Old Man’s Views
I Am Getting the Feeling That Cryptocurrencies are Going to Remain in the Doldrums for Some Time to Come
I am not being negative towards the industry, because there is no chance cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology will not continue to develop, but we may be...
The Old Man’s Views
Why Are You Reading This?
If you are anything like me, you are reading reports hoping that you will find a snippet of information that might prove profitable today or in...
Cromwell FX Market View
War Stalls and Fed Hikes
The week saw the current war in Ukraine stall. With this we saw the Euro gain slight momentum GBP gained as the BoE again raised...
Digital Asset Insights #58
Updated: What Your Relationship with Bitcoin Says About You
BITCOIN (BTC) Bitcoins opened the week trading above $37,793 which is a slight climb from where it had been trading in the previous week. The following...
The Old Man’s Views
Never underestimate the power of small people with a good idea and a few cans of beer!
Usually, when I am about to write, I typically have a list of 3 or 4 topics that I can choose from and decide what to...
Cromwell FX Market View
Markets Remain Stable Ahead of Fed
The week saw some level of stabilisation after the previous 2 weeks of roller coaster markets. Ukraine continued to dominate the headlines but with no further...
Macro Research
Don’t Fight the Fed
The phrase "Don't fight the Fed" is normally attributed to the reaction function of central banks once a crisis is underway. What does it mean? Simply...
Digital Asset Insights #57
Investors predict Fed to hike rates this week. Reactions from Crypto will be expected
BITCOIN (BTC) Bitcoin traded within a volatile consolidation range this week, opening at a weekly low of $37,000, rallying to a high of $45,039, and then...
The Old Man’s Views
Morals and the Markets
It doesn't matter how much the markets have moved in our favour. There can be no joy when watching what is happening in Ukraine. I...
Cromwell FX Market View
War Continues to Take Its Toll
The week was once again dominated by the continued invasion in Ukraine. Euro was the worse performer of the week as the attack on the Zaporizhzhia...
Digital Asset Insights #56
First Mover Americas: Investors Visually perceive Bitcoin as Inflation Hedge
BITCOIN (BTC) BTC/USD opened the month selling at $43,257 on the first of March after soaring above the 9-day MA and 21-day moving averages to cross...
The Old Man’s Views
A Sad Week
In a week such as this, talking about ways to make money seems a little obscene. All the people in Ukraine are in my prayers....
Cromwell FX Market View
Putin’s War Begins
The week was dominated by the build up of forces and eventual invasion of Ukraine. Though not unexpected by the markets the actual event still took...
Macro Research
Will The Fed Hike in March?
With the war between Russia and Ukraine dominating headlines inflation numbers not seen since the early 80s and what could be the first Fed rate hike...
Digital Asset Insights #55
War Puts BTC Price to the Test
Bitcoin (BTC) commences an incipient week in the shadow of an incipient geopolitical conflict - what are the main hurdles that investors face? BITCOIN (BTC) In...
The Old Man’s Views
Perhaps It’s Time to Delve Deeper into How These Markets Move
The Whales have grown big, because they feast on the tiniest Algae This week, I was going to talk about something else. However, after monitoring a...
Cromwell FX Market View
Ukraine / Russia Continues to Dominate
The ongoing military build-up in eastern Europe continued to dominate the market headlines. In the early stages of the week there was general optimism about the...
FX Market View #39
Inflation and Potential of War Driving Markets
The currency markets have been simultaneously driven by two themes as of recent, however independently the duration of these market motives vary significantly. Firstly, there are...
The Old Man’s Views
The Story of Fernando, The Romantic Bull.
The week of Valentine's Day is always a good time to tell the story of Fernando the Bull. I've read lots of reports and recommendations, many...
Cromwell FX Market View
Ukraine in Focus
It seems not a week goes by without some level of event driven volatility. Late in the week rumours of Russia / Ukraine escalation saw Euro...
FX Market View #38
Markets dominated by Political tensions in Europe
Geo-political tensions drove the markets this past week with the US sending bold statements of a pending war in Europe. Whether or not the likelihood of...
Macro Research
Is The Yield Curve About to Invert?
Since Q4 of 2021 to today we have had wild swings within fixed income markets. As G10 central banks have taken notice of rising inflation and...
Digital Asset Insights #54
Bitcoin’s Parabolic Movement, Now What?
This week's digital asset newsletter illuminates the vigorous performances shown recently by the established Cryptos. BITCOIN (BTC) At the opening of the week, Bitcoin, the largest...
The Old Man’s Views
The Winter Games and Games People Play
China has done exceptionally well hosting the Winter Olympics after Covid. Considering China's record of human rights abuse, the communists must be extremely happy that...
Cromwell FX Market View
Surprise Hawkish ECB
Another volatile week as Central Bank hawkishness came to the fore. Traders had seen the Fed being Hawkish for sometime but last week was the turn...
FX Market View #37
Markets breakouts have subsided but inflation remains
During the first month of the year, the currency markets fed on optimism from lower global unemployment data that support a consensus for economic growth. This...
Digital Asset Insights #53
Bitcoin looks up and Ethereum surges
This week's digital asset newsletter sheds light on strong performances by the established players and some surprising developments for alt coins. Bitcoin On January 30, Bitcoin...
The Old Man’s Views
Reasons to be Cheerful
There are lots of reasons to be cheerful: cheaper currencies, low interest rates, … AND you are not a central banker! Firstly, as you are...
Monthly Newsletter
The Digital Asset Landscape January 2022
January 2022 in Review January continued the serendipitous slide of crypto, for the most part. It could be that all crypto will return to zero worth,...
Cromwell FX Market View
Hawkish Fed Turbocharges USD
The greenback continued its rise against all other majors after the Fed left the markets in no doubt that it was going ahead with its tightening...
Digital Asset Insights #52
Volatility Makes the World Go Around
Bitcoin Bitcoin dips to the lowest level in five months below $39k on January 21, 2022. This is the second time this year that the world's...
Cromwell FX Market View
Dollar Comes Back Strong
All major currencies lost vs the greenback as risk off continued to dominate the week. Tech stocks that started reporting moved the Nasdaq sharply lower with...
The Old Man’s Views
Both Education and Government Policy Always Comes with A Cost
It's been a terrible past few weeks - new investors who came to the markets expecting to see instant gains have been disappointed, but hopefully, this...