FX Market View #21

Only equity markets trade higher as risk appetite falls As the Delta variant of the corona virus subdued several major economies around the globe, the Dollar strengthened last week. In countries such as Japan and Australia as well as parts of the Eurozone, economic activities had fallen due to the implementation of some quarantine restrictions.…

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FX Market View #20

Dollar rally’s on inflation and retail sales data The Dollar rally’s against all major currencies last week apart for the Yen, to break the resistance it faced earlier in the month. A contributing factor towards the slight rally in Yen is put down to the BOJ tweaking its macro forecasts during Friday’s meeting. In effect,…

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FX Market View #19

Dollar resists short term sell-off and trades higher In the past week the Dollar faced resistance to its near-term trend of strengthening against the currency majors. Despite the fact that the jobs report released in the beginning of the month showed robust numbers, the greenback initially declined following a bout of profit-taking. However, the short-selling…

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FX Market View #18

Is this the time to buy into the Dollar dip? Following a hawkish view from the FED, the markets have priced in at least one rate hike before the end of next year. This contributed towards a Dollar recovery in the past 7 days; however the technical picture appears stretched. The Dollar near-term trend starting…

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FX Market View #17

Dollar experiences technical weakening gainst the majors During the past week the Dollar was pushed back as it failed to consolidate weeks of gains against the currency majors. From a technical stance this scenario is not totally unexpected. If you include a more hawkish tone from the FED with economic data revealing an increase in…

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FX Market View #16

Hawkish FED projections send the Dollar higher The US Dollar rallied following statements from the FED that were more hawkish than previously expected. Lifted higher by the a rise in US interest rates, the Dollar rally was coincided with a sell-off in equities and continued throughout the capital markets. Coming into the weekend the markets…

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FX Market View #15

Dollar holds onto current levels despite the drop in US yields The US 10-year yield has continued its pattern of trending lower during the past 3 months, and the fall during last week’s trading session was the largest in the past year. This decline has now made it to a consecutive 4 week period of…

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FX Market View #14

A Healthy US Jobs Market is unable to lift the Dollar The US jobs report in May released numbers of a somewhat healthy half a million new employment contracts, however this disappointed against the much higher expected figure. The let down in May came shortly after the revised April numbers heavily under achieved the 1…

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FX Market View #13

Dollar range narrows with Month-end corrections As we approach month-end, investor interest in the Dollar accumulated resulting in the greenback shoring up against the majors. It is not clear however if this Dollar strengthening can be seen as a shift in the near-term trend or simply a balancing of investor portfolios. Any sustainable shift towards…

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FX Market View #12

Dollar is unlikely to consolidation higher in near term The FED is continuing its path of buying US treasuries even as the economy is expanding, and the vaccine rollout is helping to open businesses. Last month’s disappointing jobs numbers diminishes any likelihood of a change in this fiscal policy. Furthermore, any pricing pressures that may…

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FX Market View #11

Sustained US rates growth required for Dollar recovery The release of the Consumer Price and Producer Price data indices pushed the Dollar around last week. Initially the Dollar was pushed higher on Wednesday as rates jumped following the higher than expected CPI data being reported. As the week came to a close the Dollar then…

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FX Market View #10

Dollar driven lower by disappointing NFP data The relationship between the US economy and the Dollar remains disjointed since the impact of the corona virus on domestic growth. The fiscal and monetary policies which have been implemented during the past year had clearly had a positive effect on the economy. Jobs growth and industrial production…

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FX Market View #9

A turning point for the Dollar heading into May By the completion of the first full month in the second quarter, the Dollar index effectively unwound the March gains. This appeared to be the new pattern for the Dollar during April as the Dollar failed to capitalise on the expanding US economy. There have been…

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FX Market View #8

Market remains uncertain in holding Dollars The US Dollar settled in for a challenging week, unable to build any gains or forward momentum instead consolidating lower against the majors. A similar currency market situation prevailed in the previous week, as investor lacked the belief and desire to buy Dollars on the back of a surging…

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FX Market View #7

Dollar fails to consolidate on positive data The US data released during the last week confirmed the market expectation of a rebounding economic recovery. However, despite the data behind a surging US economy, the situation for the Dollar is less than positive. The gains that we made by the greenback earlier in the week, could…

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FX Market View #6

Eyes on inflation as market gauges Dollar’s path Global economic data released in the days following the East holiday period disappointed markets, with investors returning to the US Dollar. The weekly jobless claims unexpectedly increased in the US initially pressuring the greenback lower. However, as Europe released weaker than expected industrial output data the Dollar…

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FX Market View #5

Dollar is trending higher from an elevated position The trading week was shortened by the Easter holiday period, with most financial closing on the Friday. However the few exchanges in the Asia Pacific region that remained open did experience market advances. As for the currency markets the US Dollar produced mixed results during the week.…

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FX Market View #4

Dollar consolidates on its upward trend as the Euro stumbles The equity markets traded firmer as the weekend approached, however this was a continuation of gains and losses alternating between days. As for the US Dollar, it could not hold onto a stretch of positive returns against most major currencies aside from the Yen and…

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FX Market View #3

Dollar firms across the board as the market consolidates gains This week the markets again looked to the anticipated outcome of another central bank meeting. Moving across the Atlantic it was now the turn of the FOMC to inform on their market positioning, and provide assurances of a healing economy. The US Dollar firmed ahead…

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FX Market View #2

Market reverses as the Dollar builds momentum again The US Dollar rally from the previous week ran into some resistance in the past few days ahead of the ECB meeting. With exception to the Japanese Yen the greenback traded lower against the currency majors by the mid-week session. Other noticeable movements in the financial markets…

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