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3D Bull & Bear Monthly Update – March 2024

The S&P 500 closed the month of March 2024 at its highest monthly closing price in history and has now rallied +29% in 5 months without pulling back by more than 2.5%.

Volatility has evaporated during the market’s historic surge, which can be seen in the S&P 500 charts below. Low volatility environments like the first quarter of 2024 are a challenging and unfavorable environment for 3D Bull/Bear.

S&P 500: (March 2024)

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S&P 500: (October 2023 – March 2024)

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3D Bull/Bear is our data-driven rules-based system that seeks profits from daily rallies and declines in the S&P 500 Index, and is designed to harness volatility, adapt to the daily narrative of the market, and make the S&P 500 a better long-term investment. Below is performance for March 2024 and includes different funding levels to provide examples of how you can customize your investment according to your risk tolerance and investment objectives.

March 2024 (net)

Monthly ROR
3D Bull/Bear (25% funded) -2.52%
3D Bull/Bear (50% funded) -1.68%
3D Bull/Bear (100% funded) -0.84%
S&P 500 TR 3.22%

3D Capital Management “3D” is a data -driven investment manager with a global-macro, systematic, evolutionary approach to investing in the S&P 500. 3D’s rules-based S&P 500 programs have been evolving with the markets since 2008 and have a long history of generating long side alpha and short side alpha in Bull and Bear markets in the S&P 500. This includes being profitable in the only 3 down years in the S&P 500 in the last 16 years. 3D Bull/Bear is a rules-based system that only invests in the S&P 500 Index and is negatively correlated to the S&P 500 Index. The net returns below include actual results since March 2023 and the simulated results of 3D’s rules dating back to 2000.

January 2000 - March 2024 (net)

Actual results since Mar 2023 and simulated results dating back to Jan 2000 (See Risk Disclaimer below).

Cash Investment $300,000 $600,000 $1.2M
Trading Level $1.2M $1.2M $1.2M
Total Return 625.4% 312.7% 156.4% 464.8%
Std Deviation 20.1% 10% 5.0% 15.4%
Sharpe Ratio 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.54
Sortino Ratio 3.67 3.81 3.88 0.68
Correlation to SP -0.19 -0.19 -0.19 1.00
Max Drawdown -23.4% -11.7% -5.8% -50.9%
Best Month 32.8% 16.4% 8.2% 12.8%
Worst Month -13.6% -6.8% -3.4% -16.8%

3D Capital currently only offer SMAs, but in the coming months we will be offering new products and fund structures designed to continue to provide two sources of alpha and make the S&P 500 a better long-term investment.

 

Sincerely, Eric Dugan
Chief Investment Officer at 3D Capital Management

Risk Disclaimer

*3D Bull/Bear returns are calculated based on an assumed funding level of 25% and 50% of Trading Level and are intended to show the impact that 75% and 50% notional funding respectively has on returns (when those returns are expressed as a percentage of account value rather than Trading Level). The returns are net of the Advisor’s 1.25% management fee and 15% incentive fee. Fees are charged on the Trading Level of the account. Returns do not include interest income. 3D Capital Management is a unit-based CTA. Per NFA requirements, the addition method is used to calculate annual rates of return because the trading level of the accounts managed did not fluctuate with prior month’s profits or losses. The CFTC has not passed on the merits of participating in any of 3D’s programs nor on the adequacy or accuracy of the disclosure documents. Other disclosure statements are required to be provided to you before an account may be opened for you.

Hypothetical Performance Risk Disclosure: One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared withthe benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite oftrading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. The risk of trading commodity futures, options, and foreignexchange (“forex”) is substantial. The high degree of leverage associated with commodity futures, options, and forex can work against you as wellas for you. The high degree of leverage can result in substantial losses as well as gains. You should carefully consider whether commodity futures,options, and forex are suitable for you in light of your financial condition. If you are unsure, you should seek professional advice. Past performance does not guarantee future success. In some cases, managed accounts are charged substantial commissions and advisory fees.Those accounts subject to these charges may need to make substantial trading profits just to avoid depletion of their assets. Each Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) is required by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) to issue the prospective clients a risk disclosure outlining these fees, conflict of interest, and other associated risks. A hard copy of these risk disclosure documents is immediately available upon request. The full risk of commodity futures, options, and forex trading cannot be addressed in this risk disclosure statement. No consideration toinvest should be made without thoroughly reading the risk disclosure document. The CFTC has not passed on the merits of participating in any of the preceding programs nor on the adequacy or accuracy of the disclosure documents. Other disclosure statements are required to be provided toyou before an account may be opened for you. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. There are no guarantees of profit no matter who is managing your money. You should carefully consider whether commodity futures are suitable for you in light of your financial condition. An investor must read andunderstand the manager’s current disclosure statement before investing.

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